Jumat, 04 Juli 2014

[J614.Ebook] Download Do Not Disturb: Hotel Graphics & BrandingFrom Sandu Publishing Co., Ltd. (COR)

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Do Not Disturb: Hotel Graphics & BrandingFrom Sandu Publishing Co., Ltd. (COR)

In a world where corporate identity is of utmost importance and hotels are at the forefront of global mobility, graphics and visuals are a key element of shaping a hotel's brand. This book introduces the visual identities that are formed through the use of logos, business cards, letterheads, and other graphic elements.

  • Sales Rank: #389741 in Books
  • Brand: Sandu Publishing Co., Ltd. (COR)
  • Published on: 2014-09-09
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 11.40" h x 1.00" w x 8.50" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 240 pages

Review
DO NOT DISTURB provides compelling evidence that there is an abundance of fresh thinking in the domain of current small hotel branding. It provides a broad cross-section of such hotels around the globe, with its only shortcoming being a limited amount of text devoted to each establishment: the words of the designers are completely absent. But at least they're credited, so you can always visit their sites in search of more information. The book is thus a solid source of inspiration for those involved in design for the hospitality industry or who hope to be.' By Chris Dickman, Stocklogos.com

About the Author
Wang Shaoqiang is a professor at the Guangzhou Academy of Fine Arts, where he is dean of the design, visualization and animation department. He is the founder of Sandu Publishing, whose titles focus on international design, architecture, branding, communication, trends and culture, and the editor of Design 360� magazine and Asia-Pacific Design. He has been invited to lecture at numerous universities, design academies and organizations, and he has also been a jury member for China’s most prestigious design and illustration awards.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Four Stars
By solemio2
Some examples feel repetitive.

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Rabu, 02 Juli 2014

[R429.Ebook] Download The End of the Asian Century: War, Stagnation, and the Risks to the World’s Most Dynamic Region, by Michael R. Auslin

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The End of the Asian Century: War, Stagnation, and the Risks to the World’s Most Dynamic Region, by Michael R. Auslin



The End of the Asian Century: War, Stagnation, and the Risks to the World’s Most Dynamic Region, by Michael R. Auslin

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The End of the Asian Century: War, Stagnation, and the Risks to the World’s Most Dynamic Region, by Michael R. Auslin

An urgently needed “risk map” of the many dangers that could derail Asia’s growth and stability

Since Marco Polo, the West has waited for the “Asian Century.” Today, the world believes that Century has arrived. Yet from China’s slumping economy to war clouds over the South China Sea and from environmental devastation to demographic crisis, Asia’s future is increasingly uncertain. Historian and geopolitical expert Michael Auslin argues that far from being a cohesive powerhouse, Asia is a fractured region threatened by stagnation and instability. Here, he provides a comprehensive account of the economic, military, political, and demographic risks that bedevil half of our world, arguing that Asia, working with the United States, has a unique opportunity to avert catastrophe – but only if it acts boldly. Bringing together firsthand observations and decades of research, Auslin’s provocative reassessment of Asia’s future will be a must‑read for industry and investors, as well as politicians and scholars, for years to come.

  • Sales Rank: #73829 in Books
  • Brand: imusti
  • Published on: 2017-01-10
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.25" h x 1.06" w x 6.12" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 304 pages
Features
  • Yale University Press

Review
"Auslin argues powerfully for a dose of reality when assessing the current situation in Asia and its future problems and prospects."—George P. Shultz, former U.S. Secretary of State and Secretary of the Treasury, and Distinguished Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University (George Shultz)

“No sooner had we got used to thinking of ourselves as living in the “Asian century” than it might be all over… The book is a crash course on the risks in Asia.”—Lucy Hornby, Financial Times (Lucy Hornby Financial Times 2017-02-25)

"What happens in Asia will determine much of what historians in the 22nd century say about our century.� Michael Auslin’s bracing book argues that it may be a sad story.� It is a powerful antidote to the Asiaphoria that dominates conventional wisdom.� Agree or disagree, Auslin’s argument deserves serious reflection."—Lawrence H. Summers, former U.S. Secretary of the Treasury and President Emeritus, Harvard University (Lawrence H. Summers)

“Michael Auslin provides and impressive review of Asian fault lines that could soon break into open conflict despite the region’s interwoven economies. The End of the Asian Century is a unique analysis, and likely prescient, of the world’s most vibrant region.”—Frederick W. Smith, Chairman and CEO, FedEx Corporation (Frederick W. Smith)

“Michael Auslin’s book, The End of the Asian Century: War, Stagnation, and the Risks to the World’s Most Dynamic Region, gives the reader a pragmatic look at the risks inherent in the Asia region. It is an excellent guide for anyone interested in the prospects for Asia, whether you are an investor, policymaker, or executive. It is full of practical examples of what is working well, and what one has to be aware of.”—Henry R. Kravis, Co-Chairman and Co-CEO, KKR (Henry R. Kravis)

“I and many of my colleagues worry more about Chinese weakness than we do Chinese strength; we fret more over Asian failure than we do Asian competitive success. Michael Auslin's thoughtful new book explains why.� It's a must-read for anyone who wants to go beyond today's oversimplified sloganeering.”—General (Ret.) Michael V. Hayden, former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency and National Security Agency (Michael V. Hayden)

"The End of the Asian Century is the most complete and realistic book on the subject I have read in a long time. It demonstrates in bold and specific terms how we must not take Asian stability for granted and how Asia may have unpleasant surprises for us in the years ahead."—Robert D. Kaplan, author of Monsoon and Asia's Cauldron, senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security (Robert D. Kaplan)

"The End of the Asian Century provides a sober corrective to the conventional wisdom of Asia's inevitable rise, pointing to the real dangers of nationalism, conflict, and slowing economic growth that will present huge challenges for everyone in the region."—Francis Fukuyama, Olivier Nomellini Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University, and author of The End of History and the Last Man (Francis Fukuyama)

“Too much contemporary analysis is based on the mistaken belief that human progress is effortlessly certain. But as we discovered in Russia, nothing should be taken for granted. There is no destiny, only courage and hard work and vigilance. It is fine to be an optimist, but ignoring potential crises only makes them more likely.�The End of the Asian Century�reminds us that positive change isn’t easy or inevitable. Half the world lives in Asia and the region’s rise or fall will have a huge impact on the other half. Auslin clearly explains the weakest links in the many globalized connections between Asia and the rest of the world, as well as the possible crisis points across the entire region. This focus on the details provides the context needed to understand the big picture.”—Garry Kasparov, Chairman of the Human Rights Foundation and author of�Winter Is Coming: Why Vladimir Putin and the Enemies of the Free World Must Be Stopped
(Garry Kasparov)

"Michael Auslin combines an historian's perspective with the art of diagnosis to map Asia's possible futures. The surprising result is anticipatory, cautionary, and contrarian. Written with verve and a readable style,�Auslin urges us to weigh the wide-ranging implications of these risks for America and the rest of the world."—Robert B. Zoellick, former President of the World Bank, US Trade� Representative, and U.S. Deputy Secretary of State (Zoellick)

"At a time when Asia’s importance is matched only by its complexity and unpredictability, Michael Auslin has provided us a thoughtful, deeply researched, and engagingly written primer on how to think about the future of this vital region."—Robert Kagan, senior fellow, Brookings Institutions and author of The World America Made (Robert Kagan)

"The conventional wisdom has long held that Asia is inexorably rising while America declines. In a bold and provocative book that is sure to spark debate, Michael Auslin challenges that old thinking by showing that Asia risks a calamitous descent into conflict and economic turmoil. Written with grace and insight, The End of the Asian Century is must reading for anyone interested not just in Asia but in geopolitics more broadly."—Max Boot, Jeane J. Kirkpatrick Senior Fellow for National Security Studies, Council on Foreign Relations and author of The Savage Wars of Peace: Small Wars and the Rise of American Power (Max Boot)

"Moving from geography to economics and politics, Asia expert Michael Auslin draws an innovative risk map in this well researched new book. This thoughtful and skeptical challenge to consensus, with its caution that America must up its game in the region, is a must-read for any policy maker or businessperson thinking seriously about the world today."—Glenn Hubbard, Dean, and Russell L. Carson Professor of Finance and Economics, Columbia Business School (Glenn Hubbard)

"Few other regions matter more for the world's future than Asia. Will the region be a global economic engine and a geopolitical stabilizer or an exporter of economic woes and dangerous conflicts? An urgent question to which Michael Auslin offers lucid—and often counterintuitive— answers. A must read for leaders in business and government as well as academics and journalists."—Mois�s Na�m, Distinguished Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and author of The End of Power (Mois�s Na�m)

"Many think of a Rising Asia – economically vibrant and politically stable – as the future of the international system.� Michael Auslin’s brilliant new book highlights the demographic, economic, political and diplomatic factors that make this brave new world far less likely. It is essential reading for all who want to understand the future of global order."—Eric Edelman, former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy (Eric Edelman)

“In this important book, Michael Auslin who has studied and admired the accomplishments of Asia’s people for more than twenty-five years warns us not to assume too much and outlines five risk factors that threaten the future of what he prefers to call the “Indo-Pacific Region.” Though not a prophecy of gloom, it is a cautionary tale, about the risks that need to be managed if the progress of the last thirty years is to be sustained and a return to earlier tragic failures is to be avoided.”—Paul Wolfowitz, former president, The World Bank, and Deputy Secretary of Defense.
(Paul Wolfowitz)

“The End of the Asian Century is the essential user’s guide to the gathering risks in the dynamic Indo-Pacific crescent. Not since Robert D. Kaplan’s The Coming Anarchy and Samuel Huntington’s Clash of Civilizations has a study so originally and presciently captured the risks to the emerging international order."—James Kraska, Howard S. Levie Professor of International Law, U.S. Naval War College (James Kraska)

"Do miracles have an expiration date? In The End of the Asian Century, Michael Auslin offers a much-needed corrective to the perma-bulls who wave away concerns about whether the planet's most important economic region can continue to be a dynamic one. Balanced, penetrating analysis."—James Pethokoukis, MSNBC contributor and economic analyst (James Pethokoukis)

"Michael Auslin has written a thought-provoking, contrarian, and insightful book on the world's most dynamic region. It should make all of us think again soberly about Asia's future."—Minxin Pei, Claremont McKenna College, author of China's Trapped Transition (Minxin Pei)

"Michael Auslin has built a reputation as an astute and forward-looking observer. In his new book, Auslin paints a vivid picture of a region waiting to see the full extent of Beijing's ambitions while wondering how the United States will ultimately respond. Those wishing to understand the scale of the challenge posed by China's destabilizing behavior would be well-served by this timely book."—Congressman J. Randy Forbes (R-Va), Chairman of the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Seapower & Projection Forces and Co-Chairman of the Congressional China Caucus (J. Randy Forbes)

"For years, many Americans have seen a rising Asia as a region of opportunity. But Asia scholar Michael Auslin has come to see it as a region of risks—military, economic, demographic. In The End of the Asian Century, he provides a 'risk map' of a region of great promise and great problems."—Michael Barone, resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and Washington Examiner senior political analyst (Michael Barone)

“Informative, thoughtful, and wide-ranging . . . well-researched, insightful . . . a wake-up call.”—Publishers Weekly (Publishers Weekly)

“In this impressive book, Michael Auslin pleads for us not to fall for the latest simplistic narratives about the so-called Asian century… �If America’s pivot to Asia is to mature into a meaningful long-term strategy, instead of a vague aspiration, it will require more books like this.”—John Bew, New Statesman (John Bew New Statesman 2017-01-06)

“[Auslin] argues persuasively that most predictions for Asia are unrealistically rosy.”—Tony Abbott, The Wall Street Journal (Tony Abbott The Wall Street Journal)

“Auslin has done us a great service, and his book deserves to be read.”—Peter Mattis, War On The Rocks (Peter Mattis War on the Rocks)

“A �brilliant book . . . easy to read and engaging.”—Michael Rubin, Commentary (Michael Rubin Commentary)

“A valuable new book.”—Aaron MacLean, The Washington Free Beacon (Aaron MacLean The Washington Free Beacon)

“A plausible, meticulously documented analysis of the deep fissures that divide the individual nations and cultures of the Asian Pacific and portend trouble ahead — economically, politically and diplomatically.”—Aram Bakshian Jr., The Washington Times (Aram Bakshian Jr. The Washington Times)

About the Author
Award-winning author Michael Auslin is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research in Washington, DC. A former history professor at Yale, he is a regular contributor to the Wall Street Journal and a global media commentator.

Most helpful customer reviews

12 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
The Complicated Problems of the Indo-Pacific Region
By kahemingway
For several years now, political pundits, economists and foreign policy experts have assured the public that the next century will be the Asian century due to the incredible economic growth in the region along with its seemingly stable, safe environment. This prediction, once considered an inevitability, has become far less rosy in the current decade as problems with economic stagnation, slowdowns, demographics, political unrest, and corruption become more apparent. As someone who has lived in Asia for many years I can confirm that much of what is written here matches what I've been seeing, but I find myself skeptical of the solutions presented inside the book.

The book defines Asia as the Indo-Pacific region and attempts to educate the reader about the problems these countries face via demographics, economic stagnation and slowdowns, corruption, authoritarianism, and the increasing chances of regional armed conflict. The author skips around to different countries in all the chapters, but most of the focus in on Japan, India, and China with less time spent with ASEAN. The chapters on economics shows that while some countries like Japan, South Korea and China have seen tremendous growth, other nations are barely getting themselves off the ground as the economic picture becomes far less stable. The chapter on armed conflict largely focuses on China's rapid military growth and the instability presented by North Korea. The detailed, factual picture presenting the wide-ranging problems Asia faces is one that matches what I have seen and heard myself.

Unfortunately, the major problem I have with this book is the solutions section presented in the final chapter. I was hopeful when the author expressed that Asia is a region torn between authoritarianism and democracy, while making it clear that democracy was not going to be the inevitable winner in the region as many Westerners might think. However, at the end the book only offered the predictable solution of promoting liberalization throughout all of Asia as the antidote for all its problems, along with accepting and supporting the global economy with massive, multi-party trade deals like the recently shelved TPP. It prescribes the US and the Europe as integral parts of the cure since they can help inject liberal values into Asia to create a Pan-Asian region similar to that of the EU.

I find this type of rhetoric similar to the "end of history" line presented by Francis Fukuyama after the Soviet Union fell, which is now considered by many to be wishful thinking. This book, while informative for someone who has little to no understanding of this part of the world, leaves out some insights that I have found in my time living and traveling in the area. It is why I cannot simply agree with the solutions presented and I will try my best to explain some of my own misgivings below.

First of all, there's the idea that the US and the EU should support the democracies of Asia in order to spread liberalization to the more authoritarian countries. This might be a good idea if several clear instances hadn't already been made that neither of these candidates for advocating democracy are willing to stand up for those brave people defying authoritarianism in favor of democracy and liberalism. The Umbrella Revolution in Hong Kong, a protest against unfair election practices, saw no support from either party against Beijing. When Hong Kong book sellers were kidnapped and imprisoned for selling books critical of China's leadership and when fairly elected Independence candidates were denied their seats by Beijing, the EU and US did not protest on their behalf. Taiwan, the only ethnically Chinese democratic country in the region, receives no support from the EU as far as I'm aware and marginal, vague support from the US. When the Hague voted in favor of the Philippines against Beijing in a dispute of sovereign territory, China simply decided to ignore the ruling and continue its previous behavior. The US and EU, predictably, did nothing.

I cannot understate the sense of disillusionment this gives to the people of the region who do believe in democracy. In Taiwan, where I have lived, the young and the old have all come to the same conclusion: the only value that matters is money. China has it. They don't. Democracy doesn't actually matter and, as much as I might have wanted to argue, I couldn't. They're facing reality and realizing that in spite of adopting Western values, no one is going to help them when China comes for them. The same message is being received in Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea and the Philippines, make no mistake. Money matters. They don't.

Adding to the disillusionment is the deeply embedded corruption found in democratic governments, which seems on par with those in authoritarian regimes. Democracy should, technically, create more trustworthy politicians and institutions than authoritarian states. Yet, for many people, the only difference seems to be that democratic leaders are a bit easier to get rid of, though that doesn't stop them from returning to power in some other form.

Now, onto the idea that liberalization and democracy are the keys to long term stability in Asia. For this point, one should consider what people in this region are seeing inside the democracies of the US and EU. The reports of frequent terrorist attacks, violent shootings, ethnic tensions, riots, migration crises, and staggering unemployment rates do not present a strong case for democracy against authoritarianism. Many Westerners comment that they enjoy visiting or living in Asia because of how safe they feel inside these countries, authoritarian or otherwise. Internal security matters and tourists from Japan, South Korea and China are now avoiding traveling to countries like France because they fear for their safety. Clearly, democracy and liberalization does not necessarily make a stable, safe society.

Finally, focusing on democracy and liberalization before creating a stable economic environment is basically placing the cart before the horse. Japan, for example, only began to become a more liberal society after its economy was able to provide for the needs of its citizens, not before. If democracy advocates become too pushy in pressing for liberalization, then Asian countries will turn to more authoritarian states who will give them money regardless of their stance on human rights. This is already becoming the case with Thailand and Malaysia. It is also furthered by the international business climate, whose investments largely depend on cutting the best possible deal. This, of course, usually entails the exploitation of the poor and underprivileged. Thus, money will trump liberalization and democracy every time.

There are other points I could make regarding saving face, pride, ethnicity and power, but this review has become quite wordy as it is. To summarize: geopolitics is a blood sport and money trumps any other value in today's world. Spreading liberalization and democracy would require its advocates to forgo wealth for the sake of unshakeable, uncompromising values--which, given what I've seen recently, seems unlikely to happen. More importantly, the very people who the Westerners are supposed to be instilling their values in are fast losing faith in said values as their democratic "allies" largely abandon them. Authoritarianism will be the winner as long as any semblance of value is forsaken for monetary gain.

36 of 40 people found the following review helpful.
The Asia nobody sees
By Alan F. Sewell
I’ve worked and invested in Asian countries. I found this book to be a worthwhile read from several perspectives:

1. It provides details, not platitudes. We are all familiar with the platitudes about Asia being the world’s growth engine. Michael Auslin shows us the fouled spark plugs inside the engine that may freeze it up. He calls it “The Asia nobody sees.”

2. It provides an in-depth analysis of countries from India to Indochina to Japan to Korea to China to Indonesia and the Philippines. We are accustomed to thinking of these countries in common as “Asia-Pacific.” Auslin shows us that differences between neighboring Asian countries often exceed the differences between Canada and Argentina at opposite ends of our hemisphere.

3. Because Asia has such a wide spectrum of extremes, its trendlines exaggerate what we see in the USA. For example, Japan has a much steeper demographic decline than we do. They are automating their society because they do not have enough humans to do the work. We can understand demographic challenges by observing how the Japanese, and soon the Chinese, will deal with theirs. We can learn from their mistakes and successes.

4. It’s a warning against complacency. We see trouble brewing in Asia from many smoldering conflicts, but we imagine that prosperity brought by trade will smooth over the differences. Peace is not inevitable. We could wake up one morning and find North Korean artillery demolishing Seoul, and warning that if we intervene, Los Angeles and Seattle will be vaporized by North Korean nuclear-tipped ballistic missiles. We could find ourselves in a war with China invading Taiwan or another country where maritime boundaries are disputed. Asian nations are not as stable as they appear. Unstable nations are prone to going to war. Perhaps harder work is needed now to avert war.

Are there still opportunities for Asia to grow and prosper, or is “The Asian Century” about to be buried under the rubble of demographic decline, political instability, and perhaps even war? Auslin writes:

=====
To put it starkly, what we are seeing today may be the beginning of the end of the “Asian Century.” For decades, prominent and knowledgeable observers, from bankers and industrialists to scholars and politicians, have predicted the rise of the Asia-Pacific and an era of unparalleled Asian power, prosperity, and peace. At the same time, many writers assure us that the East is replacing the West, in a great shift of global power that will permanently reshape our world. All those predictions now are themselves at risk. I did not travel to Asia looking for trouble. Just the contrary. After nearly a quarter-century studying and dealing with Asia, I initially planned on writing a book on how America’s future would be tied to a resurgent Indo-Pacific, a variant of what then secretary of state Hillary Clinton called “America’s Pacific Century.” To my surprise (and initial resistance), the more I traveled around the region, starting around 2010, the more I became aware of the risks we in the West were ignoring.
=====

Auslin quantifies these social, economic, political, and military risks. Some of the risks surprised me. Japan is far more at risk to economic and demographic decline than I knew. According to Auslin, Japanese society is coming apart at the seams. He surmises that population is declining so precipitately because Japanese men and women no longer enjoy bonding in families. Women prefer to work until they grow old then die alone. Men are left to gratify themselves with pornography. Fewer children who are born to parents who delay marriage to middle age. Of the children who are born, many never go on to higher education, learn a trade, or ever go to work. Much of the younger generation is idled in an economy starved for labor (a question I would ask, is why don’t wages rise sufficiently to attract the idle to work?)

Of course, this breakdown of families in the urban centers of the developed world is a global phenomenon happening in the USA too. What are the social and economic factors that make it so extreme in Japan? Is there anything we can learn that will help the USA avoid this lonely fate?

My other surprise was China. Like most Americans, I respect the character of Chinese people for their high standards of work, intelligence, and morality; an optimistic and forward-working nature, and a socially happy personality. However, China’s government is doing what authoritarian governments usually do, which is to bend our trade relations to work to their advantage. Auslin describes the mix of the Chinese mafia, Chinese military, and Chinese crony capitalists who browbeat our companies into transferring their trade secrets to Chinese companies, or extract it with relentless cyberwarfare if they refuse to voluntarily surrender it.

Auslin says that educated Chinese resent their authoritarian and corrupt government. What would happen if China’s leaders anticipated that the people were about to rise against them? Would they seek to divert their people wrath by declaring war on neighboring countries, including the USA?

I was also educated to some surprising facts about India, which is at the opposite end of the demographic spectrum, and still growing its population by an astounding 180,000,000 per decade! Auslin says that India maintains its population growth by keeping women in the home, getting pregnant instead of going to work. Here again, we can wonder if there are any lessons to learn about keeping our population up by incentivizing women to forego some economic gain of working in order to have more children?

The only complaint I have with the book is the bogus accounting that is used to advocate for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) treaty. Economists in the USA and Europe have realized how unpopular these treaties are, so they have kept busy devising increasingly creative accounting to obscure their bad effects on the USA.

The facts are:

1. In 2015 the USA ran a $367 billion trade deficit with China; $155 billion with the European Union; $68 billion with Japan; $60 billion with Mexico; $28 billion with South Korea; and $23 billion with India. China sold us four times as much as it bought from us.

2. Trade with these countries did not “produce millions of high-paying jobs for American workers who will make products for export” as promised. The reverse happened. Americans who already had high-paying jobs making product that was sold in America lost their jobs when their companies moved production to Asia in order to use its low-wage work force to produce product that is IMPORTED INTO THE USA.

3. USA exports to Asia are declining. As more factories are moved overseas, we make less product to export.

4. Our business with Asia is about moving jobs out of the USA, not exporting product for Asians to buy. We have transferred millions of American jobs that were paying an average of $25 / hour to Asia, where the wage is $1.50 / hour. This is a destruction of over a trillion dollars of income in the USA each year.

5. The USA is getting poorer because we have fewer people working, now that the factories have gone to Asia. The Asian countries are getting poorer because there are fewer Americans drawing paychecks that allow them to buy Asian imports.

6. The world economy is getting sicker. It is no longer sustained by wage-earning labor, but by financial shenanigans, stock market scams, and growing mountains of government debt that can never be repaid. Americans become poorer because their jobs are removed to Asia. The Asian countries make their people poorer by devaluing their currencies so that unemployed Americans can buy them on the cheap. Everybody loses.

As a result, Americans and Europeans have begun to understand that trade with low-wage countries in Asia is detrimental. Free Trade Mavens have therefore developed a method of accounting to try to deceive them into thinking otherwise. The bogus foreign trade accounting, such as you will find in this book, goes something like this:

Suppose you work for a bank and earn $20,000 a year. The bank convinces you to take out a home equity loan of $80,000 a year and spend it on enhancing your life style. After a while you realize that if your debt continues to increase, you will have to declare bankruptcy and allow the bank to repossess your home and all your possessions.

Your banker, who on paper is profiteering from the interest he charges you on your mounting debt, tells you, “Don’t worry. You don’t really owe $80,000 more to the bank every year. We take your $80,000 and pay $50,000 of it out in employee salaries, including your $20,000. Of the remaining $30,000, $20,000 goes to pay our overhead. We only earn $10,000. So you’re really running a trade SURPLUS with us. We’re paying you $20,000 a year, and you’re only owing us $10,000. What a great deal for you!”

Of course, you owe the bank the $80,000 each year, plus all the accumulated interest.

This is how the Free Trade Mavens are trying to deceive us about our trade deficits with China and other countries. They want us to believe that a $367 billion trade deficit with China is really a trade surplus because China theoretically might distribute the money to other people in other countries. In actual practice, China uses our money to buy up businesses and government debt of other countries, including in the USA, thereby using the accumulation of our money to lock us out of foreign markets while encumbering us with debt that we, or our children must pay back with interests to China.

Aside from that, the book is educational in its details about the Indo-Asian countries and the opportunities and issues we will encounter in our economic, political, and military relations with them. The book should be read by those who desire to be informed and proactive in thinking of the future with Asia.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Highly recommended risk analysis in an easy readable book
By Lars H
The last 16 years I spent in the Philippines as a businessman, service buyer and consumer. Doing some business with China.

I give the author 4.6 stars (rounded of to 5 stars) because I truly agree with him in chapter 1-6. The important part of the book, chapter 1-6 analyzes, structures and presents the risks of Indo-Pasific in an easy readable way.

I only disagree with the author in the less important chapter 7, a discussion chapter. In academics and non-fiction the last chapter is not that important. It is mostly the author's opinion. You will save yourself years of reading and watching boring "news" about Asia trying to discern what is "news" and what is propaganda. Read this book if you like to invest some money in equities or bonds in Asia, which I recommend as it has given me a higher growth. The total sum of risks are not much different compared to the som of the risks in EU or USA, but the growth potential is higher in Asia.

I am an EU citizen and I highly recommend this book to a general audience from socialists to capitalists, and in between. :)

Update: Video from a 10 min speech by Dr John Chipman (head of IISS) at the opening of Munich Security Conference March 8, 2017. The speech confirms most of what Michael Austin writes.

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Rabu, 25 Juni 2014

[I794.Ebook] Ebook Minecraft: Exploded Builds: Medieval Fortress: An Official Mojang Book, by Mojang Ab

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Minecraft: Exploded Builds: Medieval Fortress: An Official Mojang Book, by Mojang Ab

Have you ever wanted to create your own legendary medieval kingdom to rule over? Well, now you can, with Minecraft Exploded Builds: Medieval Fortress.

Learn how to design, build, and customize every part of your castle and the surrounding area, from sturdy walls and deadly traps to dank, dark dungeons and sprawling villages. Each build has an exploded view to show you exactly which blocks to use, plus extra ideas to make every part of your kingdom unique.

Packed with interesting facts about medieval life, full-color illustrations, and a foldout depicting the epic scale of the kingdom, this official Mojang book has dozens of building ideas to ignite the imaginations of Minecrafters of all ages.

Note: This book has been designed to mimic job-site engineering plans. The marks and scuffs on the pages are an intentional design element.

  • Sales Rank: #6169 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-11-08
  • Released on: 2016-11-08
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 11.20" h x .60" w x 9.30" l, 1.25 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 80 pages

About the Author
Mojang AB is a games studio based in Stockholm, Sweden.

Most helpful customer reviews

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Great Book - Love the Medieval Theme - Exactly what you would expect - Fair Price for what it is
By Triple Moon Ranch
This book was exactly what you would think it to be. I first want to refer to something you will read in a review that I red while trying to decide if I was going to purchase this book. One reviewer mentioned that their book arrived with dirt on the pages they sent it back it was replaced and the 2nd book they received still had dirt on the pages. This is NOT really dirt, it is printed that way to appear to be worn and dirty it is MEDIEVAL FORTRESSES it is supposed to look old and worn. One reviewer mentioned that it was not an exact set of explicit directions on building the buildings, this is true. The directions are not step by step and I do agree I would be interested in a book like this. However if you have ever built lego then you have seen how long a step by step instruction booklet for even a simple little build is so imagine the size of a step by step instruction for the castle in this book not to mention I would not think you would pick it up for under 20.00 as this book is priced. This book is exactly as it presents itself, an Exploded Build of Medieval Buildings and a really cool tool for getting an idea of how to build things and how to set up your own Medieval fortress and outer community and how to keep it safe with traps and special builds to protect against explosion and invasion. This was an excellent book at a fair price and I hope to see more like it with the same Medieval Theme.

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Great guide.
By Chris Stuart
I love this book. It doesn't tell you exactly how to build all the structures which teaches the player how to design and build as they go. I didn't want a detailed blueprint, I wanted ideas and some guidance. This book has fantastic ideas, great illustrations, and great explanations.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Great book, worth a buy--but don't expect great instructions
By burkypants
Great book, worth a buy--but don't expect great instructions. This is more of an idea/jumping off point rather than something you can use as a blueprint. The portcullis and redstone parts in particular lacked in really clear instructions so we had to fill the gaps with guess work.

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Sabtu, 21 Juni 2014

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Sarah, Rebekah, Rachel and Leah (Women of Genesis), by Orson Scott Card

Historical fiction. Orson Scott Card, known for his science fiction, does an insightful job tracing the lives of these Biblical women. Three separate volumes.

  • Sales Rank: #11203431 in Books
  • Published on: 2001
  • Binding: Mass Market Paperback

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Kamis, 12 Juni 2014

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2016-17 NFHS Volleyball Case Book and Officials Manual, by NFHS

Contains the official case plays for volleyball and are designed to explain all aspects of the sport.

  • Sales Rank: #225132 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2016-07-17
  • Released on: 2016-07-17
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By William Atkinson
Hundreds of examples of faults, diagrams of overlaps and much more. Valuable resource for the new referee.

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Handy Help
By LYN ADAMS
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Focus: Use Different Ways of Seeing the World for Success and Influence, by Heidi Grant Halvorson Ph.D., E. Tory Higgins Ph.D.

“A must-read for anyone who wants to understand why they behave as they do.” —Art Markman, Ph.D., author of Smart Thinking

Do you play to win? Or do you play not to lose?

As Tory Higgins and Heidi Grant Halvorson have discovered in their work at Columbia University’s Motivation Science Center, everything we do is motivated either by a desire to be better off or to simply hang on to what we’ve got. And understanding the simple but crucial difference between the two can empower you to motivate yourself and influence everyone around you. Examining how promotion/prevention focus applies across a wide range of situations—from selling products to managing employees to raising children to getting a second date—Halvorson and Higgins show us how to identify, change, and use focus to get the results we want.

  • Sales Rank: #300045 in Books
  • Published on: 2014-01-28
  • Released on: 2014-01-28
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.00" h x .65" w x 5.50" l, .33 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 272 pages

Review
“Insightful, thought-provoking, and highly practical,�Focus�is an invaluable resource for anyone who wants more deeply to understand how to motivate others.”
—Gretchen Rubin, author of�The Happiness Project

"Focus�is an exciting and important new book that brings motivational science to life in a remarkably practical way."
—Daniel Gilbert, Ph.D., author of�Stumbling on Happiness

"Nothing has changed the research conversation in social psychology in the last decade as much as Tory Higgins's ideas about promotion and prevention. This book shows how promotion and prevention touch every aspect of our daily life from work to parenting."�
—Chip Heath and Dan Heath, authors of�Switch�and�Made to Stick

�“In anything-but-routine fashion, the authors describe a fundamental difference in the way we seek and achieve success. Their description is so wide-ranging yet integrative, so entertaining yet instructive that I am able to offer an assertion of my own: If you are one of those people who want to be successful, you should read this book.”
—Robert B. Cialdini, Ph.D., author of�Influence: Science and Practice

“Every once in a while a book comes out that changes the way you see yourself, other people, and the world. This is one of those books. Read it.”
—Peter Bregman, author of 18 Minutes: Find Your Focus, Master Distraction, and Get the Right Things Done

“Most people think that motivation gets them energized to act.� Focus lifts up the hood on the motivational system and shows how competing motivations to achieve positive outcomes and avoid negative ones influence work, love, and parenting in unexpected ways.� The book is filled with practical examples that make it a must-read for anyone who wants to understand why they behave as they do.”
—Art Markman, Ph.D. author of Smart Thinking: Three essential keys to solve�

About the Author
Heidi Grant Halvorson is a social psychologist, author, and popular speaker. She is also the author of Succeed.

E. Tory Higgins is the author of Beyond Pleasure and Pain. He is Stanley Schachter Professor of Psychology at Columbia University and Professor of Management at the Columbia Business School. Both authors live in New York City and are directors of Columbia University’s Motivation Science Center.

Most helpful customer reviews

45 of 46 people found the following review helpful.
Fascinating Psychology of Influence and Success
By Book Fanatic
This book is made of two parts. Part I is called Promotion and Prevention. Part II is called Motivational Fit. Part I takes up two-thirds of the book and is really good. This book is not about focus in the sense of concentration, instead it's about a mindset that is broken into Promotion which is big picture and positive, and Prevention which is about being safe and negative. I really liked this first part and I think this is a fascinating and important idea in psychology. You learn the significant differences between the two mindsets and the very different ways they react and respond. This is very important to your own success and to the ability to influence others.

Part II is about motivational fit and this is where the booked bogged down for me. It was interesting at first but it was just too complicated and involved and ultimately I got bored reading it. It's all about how to influence others.

I give Part I 5 stars and Part II 3 stars and thus end up with a 4 star overall rating. I recommend this book and think it will be useful to those who want to understand more about human behavior. Since this book doesn't have any preview options I supply the table of contents below so you can get an idea about the topics covered in the book.

Part I: Promotion and Prevention

Chapter 1: Focused on the win, or Avoiding the Loss?
Chapter 2: Why Optimism Doesn't Work for (Defensive) Pessimists
Chapter 3: Focus on Work
Chapter 4: Focus on Kids
Chapter 5: Focus on Love
Chapter 6: Focus on Making Decisions
Chapter 7: Focus on Our World
Chapter 8: Identifying and Changing Focus

Part II: Motivational Fit

Chapter 9: It's the Fit That Counts
Chapter 10: The Triumph of the Fittest
Chapter 11: Under the Influence
Chapter 12: To Market
Chapter 13: A Step-by-Step Guide to Creating Motivational Fit
Epilogue

30 of 30 people found the following review helpful.
Worthwhile theory, but it needs applied research
By GskFn
More than a decade ago, I latched onto a miniature, seedling version of Focus in a volume of academic research called Well-Being: Foundations of Hedonic Psychology (1999). Then, in short form, the authors Higgins and Grant Halvorson described research showing benefits to be gained from identifying people with a promotion focus versus prevention focus. I've been glad to have this as a thinking tool in my kit ever since.

More recently, Halvorson's Succeed: How We Can Reach Our Goals (2011) talked about a wide span of motivational research. As part of that, she gave a thumbnail sketch of promotional and preventative orientations. I thought her sketch there was more complicated, but still promising.

So when Focus came out in 2013, I was excited to learn more about the elaboration of this theory. I also hoped to learn more about its application in business or personal life, backed up by empirical research.

Instead the short form -- the 1999 book chapter -- may hold more value for me in some ways. I come away from the 2013 book, Focus, with more skepticism than I went in with. I am not persuaded that the elaborations in Focus are sufficiently grounded empirically nor user-friendly enough to warrant the wider uses that the authors claim.

Here, below, is how Focus defines promotional and preventative orientations:

"Promotion motivation is, at its core, about satisfying our need for nurturance. It's about filling your life with positives: love and admiration, but also accomplishment, advancement, and growth. Promotion goals are ones that we would ideally like to achieve (as in, `Ideally, I'd like to be more muscular' and `Ideally, I'd like to be in a relationship'). When we do obtain whatever positive thing we've been seeking, we feel the high-energy, cheerfulness-related emotions: happiness, joy, and excitement. Or, as Ray might put it, we feel `totally stoked.'

"Prevention motivation, on the other hand, is about satisfying our need for security. It's about doing what's necessary to maintain a satisfactory life: keeping safe, doing what's right. Prevention goals are ones that we feel we ought to achieve-- ones we think of as duties, obligations, or responsibilities (as in, `I really need to lose some fat' and `I should be in a relationship'). When we do successfully maintain safety and security, we feel the low-energy, quiescence-related emotions: calm, relaxation, and relief. (They may be low energy, but that doesn't mean they don't feel good-- ask any harried working mother trying to fulfill her multiple duties what she'd like most, and the number one answer is usually `to have a chance to relax.')" (p. 5)

Note that this is not quite the same as optimism and pessimism. Nor is it meant to align neatly with economists' notions of carrots and sticks (though I would wish to see the authors delineate these comparisons with ordinary cultural notions of "folk psychology" more closely).

In 14 years gone by since my first encounter with this theory, my overall problem with Focus the book is that the research seems to have remained largely conceptual, not rigorously studied in application. People researching this theory don't seem to have studied how, and how much, people can influence situations or their own appraisals by shifting the cognitive frame. Also, there is too little attention to who and when people take a promotional versus preventative orientation. And the book gives way too little attention to *how* a person is supposed to be able to *assess* oneself and others, reliably, either as a point of personality or a situational factor or both. In place of applied research, the authors rely a lot on intuition and philosophizing without really making clear that's what they're doing.

I think this is an attractive theory that holds out a lot of promise for applied research. If better fleshed out, it could be quite powerful. Meanwhile it may offer loose guidance for day-to-day use intuitively. But in my view, it is not yet ready to be varnished with the gloss of psychological science. As the book stands now, I would call it a lengthy and complicated introduction to a really good-sounding concept that needs more work.

23 of 24 people found the following review helpful.
Are you a "prevention-based" thinker?
By MisterPlow
Because if you are, be prepared: this author does not care for you and won't hesitate to drive that point home with example after example. It makes it difficult to, well, focus on the message. The first part of the book had me feeling so lousy about myself I thought about the old children's song about giving up on people and going to eat worms.

I did pick up some validation for things I already knew, like how I'm motivated more by the threat of losing something than the possibility of gaining something new. But honestly, I knew that from using stickk. com's website (the one where you put your money on the line if you don't fulfill your promises).

I see from the reviews that business people who have employees gain a lot from this read, and I can understand that. That's probably where the book really shines. I'm just a person who wanted to light a fire under myself to achieve some personal goals, and I like other sources better for that, like Shawn Achor's work on happiness or Roger Elliott's Self Discipline audio download at Uncommon Knowledge (which I don't find hypnotic, like you're supposed to, but I do find very motivating.)

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Sabtu, 07 Juni 2014

[M571.Ebook] Fee Download Chaos and Time-Series Analysis, by J. C. Sprott

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Chaos and Time-Series Analysis, by J. C. Sprott

Chaos and Time-Series Analysis, by J. C. Sprott



Chaos and Time-Series Analysis, by J. C. Sprott

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Chaos and Time-Series Analysis, by J. C. Sprott

An introduction to developments in chaos and related topics in nonlinear dynamics, including the detection and quantification of chaos in experimental data, fractals, and complex systems. Most of the important elementary concepts in nonlinear dynamics are discussed, with emphasis on the physical concepts and useful results rather than mathematical proofs and derivations. While many books on chaos are purely qualitative and many others are highly mathematical, this book fills the middle ground by giving the essential equations, but in the simplest possible form. It assumes only an elementary knowledge of calculus. Complex numbers, differential equations, and vector calculus are used in places, but those tools are described as required. The book is aimed at the student, scientist, or engineer who wants to learn how to use the ideas in a practical setting. It is written at a level suitable for advanced undergraduate and beginning graduate students in all fields of science and engineering.

  • Sales Rank: #1142145 in Books
  • Published on: 2001-09-27
  • Released on: 2001-09-27
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.21" h x 1.19" w x 6.14" l, 2.00 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 507 pages

Review
`... well balanced ... excellent style.' W. Kinsner, University of Manitoba

About the Author
Professor Julien Clinton Sprott Department of Physics University of Wisconsin-Madison 1150 University Avenue Madison Wisconsin 53706 USA Tel: 001-608-263-4449 Email: sprott@physics.wisc.edu http://sprott.physics.wisc.edu/

Most helpful customer reviews

32 of 32 people found the following review helpful.
Best book on chaos/complexity theory & data analysis
By Frederick D. Abraham
For those wishing to upgrade their grasp of chaos theory, dynamics, nonlinear data analysis, with an introduction to related aspects of complexity including fractals and complex systems, this is the best book I have yet seen, and supplements the excellet visual dynamics books by Ralph Abraham. It arose from the upper level course taught by Sprott at the University of Wisconsin. The book is well supported by his website, which will always keep the book updated. It is nicely hands-on with lots of exercises and a programming project with each chapter. For those impatient to write programs, having a program like Berkeley Madonna to solve systems equations is handy for exploring some of the example systems. It has three excellent appendices, one a catalog of 62 dynamical systems, another useful mathematical formulas, and the last a compilation of useful journals. I found it incredibly comprehensive covering all aspects of the many subjects. And exceptionally clear, updating any necessary mathematics with clear explanations...

11 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
Clear and comprehensive
By Keith L. Warren
I had heard about this book from a friend with an interest in nonlinear dynamics; this is surprising in itself, since the book has been out for less than a year and already seems to be getting a positive reputation. The book more than lived up to my friend's recommendation. It is encyclopedic and remarkably clear. For anyone who is interested in linking nonlinear dynamical theory with empirical methodology, this is the best place that I know of to start.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Clear, comprehensive and engaging
By Mark C. Andersen
This book covers a lot of material on chaos and fractals briefly but in detail. The writing is very clear and engaging; the mathematics is presented clearly. This book is especially notable for its clear descriptions of the algorithms used to do the analyses described, and for its accessible coverage of methods for analyzing data (rather than equations) from complex systems. It would be particularly useful for ecologists (and possibly economists) with long-term data sets to analyze.

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